Economy & Markets
5 min read
United Airlines Predicts Record 2025 Earnings Driven by Strong Travel Demand
CNBC
January 20, 2026•2 days ago

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United Airlines anticipates record earnings in the current year, driven by robust travel demand and strong sales of premium and business seats. The company projects adjusted earnings per share between $12 and $14 for the year, aligning with analyst expectations. Fourth-quarter profit rose 6% to $1.04 billion, with premium revenue increasing significantly.
United Airlines on Tuesday said it could generate record earnings this year thanks to strong travel demand, with sales of premium seats, business travel and no-frills tickets robust in recent weeks.
The carrier expects adjusted earnings per share of between $12 and $14 this year, in line with the $13.16 analysts expected. For the first quarter, United forecast per-share earnings of $1 to $1.50, while analysts had estimated $1.13 a share.
United joined its rival Delta Air Lines in forecasting potential record earnings for the year. The two carriers accounted for almost all of the U.S. airline industry's profit in the first nine months of 2025. Other airlines are set to report later this month.
United's unit revenue fell 1.6% in the fourth quarter compared with last year. Still, United said premium revenue rose 9% in the fourth quarter and 11% for the full year over 2024. Restrictive basic-economy ticket sales, which compete with discount airlines, were up 7% in the last three months of 2025.
Most airlines are chasing revenue from higher-priced tickets like first class, racing to add in fresh, new cabins that command a premium.
Here is what United Airlines reported for the quarter that ended Dec. 31 compared with what Wall Street was expecting, based on estimates compiled by LSEG:
Earnings per share: $3.10 adjusted vs. $2.94 expected
Revenue: $15.4 billion vs. $15.4 billion expected
The carrier's fourth-quarter profit rose 6% from a year earlier to $1.04 billion, or $3.19 a share, while capacity rose 6.5% from the same period in 2024. Adjusting for one-time items, United posted earnings of $1.01 billion, or $3.10 a share.
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