Economy & Markets
6 min read
Is Lucid (LCID) Poised to Be the Next Tesla?
The Motley Fool
January 18, 2026•4 days ago

AI-Generated SummaryAuto-generated
Lucid Group, an electric vehicle manufacturer, aims to replicate Tesla's strategy with luxury sedans and SUVs. Despite positive vehicle reviews, Lucid faces a challenging market with slowed growth, increased competition, and expiring subsidies. The company is experiencing significant financial losses, making a Tesla-like trajectory unlikely. Lucid's future profitability remains uncertain, potentially requiring further stock sales.
Lucid (LCID +0.70%) is a player in the electric vehicle (EV) market focused on luxury sedans and SUVs. The company's Air sedans and Gravity SUVs generally receive very high marks from automotive media outlets and drivers, and the business's basic strategy bears substantial similarities to the approach that Tesla (TSLA 0.16%) used to become one of the world's most valuable companies.
Tesla posted negative gross margins on each vehicle sold and operated at a loss for years, but the company bet that driving adoption for its vehicles and expanding manufacturing operations would allow it to leverage economies of scale and improve margins as the marginal cost to produce additional vehicles fell.
With Lucid utilizing a similar strategy, could the smaller EV company eventually go on to produce Tesla-like returns?
Lucid has a tough road ahead
Tesla enjoyed a major head start in the EV market, and Lucid faces a much more challenging backdrop by comparison. Growth for the EV market has slowed substantially in recent years, and Lucid is also facing an influx of competition from Chinese manufacturers. Government subsidies for the EV market have also expired.
NASDAQ : LCID
Lucid Group
Today's Change
( 0.70 %) $ 0.07
Current Price
$ 10.12
Key Data Points
Market Cap
$3.3B
Day's Range
$ 9.96 - $ 10.18
52wk Range
$ 9.96 - $ 35.90
Volume
9.3M
Avg Vol
8.5M
Gross Margin
-9790.92 %
Across last year's first three quarters, Lucid posted a net loss of roughly $1.88 billion. While the launch of the Gravity SUV substantially increased the company's vehicle production and deliveries, the business is still far away from a potential shift into profitability. As a result, the company will likely continue to rely heavily on new stock sales in order to fund its operations -- creating a dilutive impact for shareholders.
With these dynamics in mind, I think it's very unlikely that the stock will go on to be the next Tesla.
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