5 Key Things to Watch on the ASX 200 This Monday

On Friday, the S&P/ASX 200 Index (ASX: XJO) finished the week in a positive fashion. The benchmark index rose 0.5% to 8,903.9 points. Will the market be able to build on this on Monday? Here are five things to watch: ASX 200 expected to edge lower The Australian share market looks set for a subdued start to the week following a poor finish to the last one on Wall Street on Friday. According to the latest SPI futures, the ASX 200 is expected to open the day 1 point lower. In the United States, the Dow Jones was down 0.15%, the S&P 500 fell 0.05%, and the Nasdaq edged 0.05% lower. Oil prices rise It could be a decent start to the week for ASX 200 energy shares Santos Ltd (ASX: STO) and Woodside Energy Group Ltd (ASX: WDS) after oil prices pushed higher on Friday night. According to Bloomberg, the WTI crude oil price was up 0.4% to US$59.44 a barrel and the Brent crude oil price was up 0.6% to US$64.13 a barrel. Traders were buying oil in response to multiple supply risks. Buy Mader shares Analysts at Bell Potter think investors should be buying Mader Group Ltd (ASX: MAD) shares. This morning, the broker has upgraded the specialised contract labour provider's shares to a buy rating with a price target of $9.00. It made the move on valuation grounds following a pullback. Bell Potter said: "We upgrade our Recommendation to Buy. The recent retracement in MAD's share price offers investors a more attractive risk-reward proposition, with 17.2% TSR implied by our $9.00/sh Target Price. We maintain the view that consensus expectations are conservative (FY26e NPAT of $67.6m; BPe $69.6m; NPAT guidance >$65.0m). Disclosure of MAD's next 5-year strategy represents a near-term catalyst." Gold price drops ASX 200 gold shares including Newmont Corporation (ASX: NEM) and Northern Star Resources Ltd (ASX: NST) could have a soft start to the week after the gold price dropped on Friday night. According to CNBC, the gold futures price was down 0.5% to US$4,601.1 an ounce. This was driven by a combination of profit-taking from traders and easing geopolitical risks. Yancoal update